The world’s own numbers

Every finished game Bannerfall has ever recorded — 34 of them. "Capped" games are those that reached their turn limit and were decided on points rather than by conquest, so they are counted apart from the games that simply ran long.

The pale band behind each ring is that faction’s 95% confidence interval — how much of its win rate is real and how much is still the small number of games behind it. A wide band means the ranking above it has not been earned yet.

No language-model opponent has finished a turn in the last 14 days, so there is nothing to time. This is "no games", not "instant" — the number appears once one is played.

One square per day, from the first order Bannerfall ever recorded. A square is shaded against how busy the other busy days were — the darkest quarter of them are the darkest squares — so the pattern reads the same whether the world is quiet or at war. A day with no orders is drawn empty; a day that has not happened yet is not drawn at all.